F-35s Delivered to Turkey as Congress Considers Its Next Move

By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace AnalystForecast International.

An F-35 fighter jet on display at a roll-out ceremony for Turkey’s F-35s.  Photo: Beth Steel/Lockheed Martin

Lockheed Martin formally delivered Turkey’s first two F-35A Joint Strike Fighters on June 21.  However, the milestone occurred amidst various moves within the U.S. Congress aimed at blocking further deliveries of the new fighter to that country.

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Turkey’s Aselsan to Develop National Long-Range Defense System

by C. Zachary Hofer, Electronic Systems Analyst, Forecast International.

Aselsan’s short- to medium-range KALKAN air defense radar. Source – Aselsan

Aselsan, one of Turkey’s largest defense electronics companies, has formed a business partnership with Rocketsan and defense industry research development institute TUBITAK SAGE to develop a national long-range defense system for Turkey. The news was delivered on Tuesday, January 16 to Turkey’s Borsa Istanbul (BIST) stock exchange.  Aselsan said that under the agreement, its share of the contracts would be TRY869 million ($227 million) and EUR279.3 million ($342 million), and that deliveries would be completed in 2021. Continue reading

Forecast Roundtable – The Syrian Conflict

By Matthew Beres and Derek Bisaccio, Forecast International.

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Welcome to the Forecast Roundtable Podcast. Forecast Roundtable brings together expert analysts, industry professionals, and government officials to discuss the latest issues in the aerospace and defense markets. Produced at the Forecast International headquarters, Forecast Roundtable offers unique and in depth insight and discussion on any range of topics from geopolitics to aerospace and defense markets. Topic suggestions are welcome.
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The Turkish Military Coup That Wasn’t

by Dan Darling, International Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.


On the evening of Friday July 15, an event occurred in Turkey that during the four decades prior to the new millennium would have been considered de rigueur inside the country: a military-led coup d’etat. Only this time the effort failed, unlike previous such efforts (1960, 1971, 1980 and 1997), which proved successful. Continue reading

Forecast Roundtable, #3

Featuring Forecast International analysts Doug Royce, Derek Bisaccio and Daniel Darling. Edited by Matthew Beres.

2podcast logoWelcome to the third episode of the Forecast Roundtable podcast. Each podcast features several analysts discussing various aerospace and defense-related issues.

This week Doug Royce continues the interviews of Derek Bisaccio and Daniel Darling regarding Middle East defense cooperation and military acquisition. Matthew Beres edited.

Click the button below to download the podcast.

PodcastButton100:50 – What’s happening with defense budgets in the region now that oil prices are going down?

02:25 – How does Israel feel about the defense buildup that’s happening in the GCC?

04:27 – F-35 comments

04:32 – Israel and Turkey’s Relationship

10:22 – Defense trade between the Arab world and China. Will China be a future competitor for the U.S. and European companies?

12:05 – Will the future see greater reliance on China as an arms supplier to GCC countries?

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Russia Steps Up Its Syria Game

By Derek Bisaccio, Eurasia Analyst, Forecast International.

Russian Mi-8 search-and-rescue helicopter, burning after being hit by a TOW missile on November 24, 2015.  The helicopter crew was looking for Su-24M pilots.

Russian Mi-8 search-and-rescue helicopter, burning after being hit by a TOW missile on November 24, 2015.  The helicopter crew was looking for Su-24M pilots.

In the early hours of November 24, two Turkish F-16s shot down a Russian Su-24M that, according to Turkish authorities, had crossed into Turkish airspace. The action, described by Russian President Vladimir Putin as a “stab in the back,”[i] drew immediate condemnation from Russia, which claimed that the aircraft had never left Syrian airspace. One of the pilots was later rescued, but one was killed after being fired upon while in the air by Turkmen rebel fighters in Syria. A search-and-rescue helicopter was forced to land after taking ground fire and was later destroyed by a TOW missile fired by a rebel group called the First Coastal Division. Continue reading

Turkey’s T-LORAMIDS Missile Defense System Edges Ever Further Away

by Dan Darling, International Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

Chinese HQ-9. Source: Wikipedia Commons/Jian Kang

Chinese HQ-9 selection prompted pushback from the West. Source: Wikipedia /Jian Kang

A long-awaited contract for the Turkish Long-Range Air and Missile Defense System (T-LORAMIDS) now appears further away than ever. For a project green-lit by the Turkish government back in 2005, the ongoing inability to ink a final contract for a long-range air-missile defense solution is symptomatic of the internal/external political components involved. Continue reading

Turkey Plans F-16 Upgrade as Fighter Capacity Stopgap Measure

by Dan Darling, International Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

F-16 Fighting Falcon

F-16 Fighting Falcon

As Turkish military planners and Turkey’s state arms procurement agency, the Undersecretariat for Defense Industries (SSM), focus on the country’s indigenous new-generation fighter jet (dubbed TF-X), Air Force officials are planning on plugging any potential capabilities gap in combat aircraft that might emerge in the interim. The solution involves an upgrade program for the Turkish Air Force’s 25 F-16 Block 30 fighters, which were acquired from the U.S. between 1988 and 1990 under the Peace Onyx program. Continue reading

Turkey Gets Enhanced Airborne EW Equipment as U.S. Strengthens Allies Along the Arabian Peninsula

by C. Zachary Hofer, Electronic Systems Analyst, Forecast International.

ALQ-211(V)9 Advanced Integrated Defensive Electronic Warfare System (AIDEWS)

ALQ-211(V)9 Advanced Integrated Defensive Electronic Warfare System (AIDEWS)

Under the terms of a U.S. Foreign Military Sales contract announced on March 9, Lockheed Martin will provide the Turkish Air Force with electronic warfare modernization on board its fleet of F-16s. Under the $13.98 million contract, to be performed through December 2017, the jet fighters will be fitted with the ALQ-211(V)9 Advanced Integrated Electronic Warfare System (AIDEWS). However, this is not just an ordinary deal, but part of an ongoing process whereby the U.S. is bolstering its allies along the border of the Arabian Peninsula. It seems to be no coincidence that as the U.S. is in talks with Iran regarding its nuclear program, it is also enhancing its allies’ border penetration and ground strike capabilities.

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