A Wide-Angle View of the Airline MRO Market

by Matthew Beres, Airborne Retrofit & Modernization Analyst, Forecast International.

AAR Corp’s Airframe MRO facility in Indianapolis, IN.

It’s well known that the international MRO market is going to grow. The important question is, how is the market going to grow? Certainly whether you are an OEM or a traditional vendor – if you aren’t up to date with the latest technological momentum and industry trends, the ocean is going to look very red. Continue reading

Airbus, Boeing Report November 2017 Orders and Deliveries

Boeing Adds to Orders Lead as Airbus Gears Up for December Shipments Surge

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

On November 19, 2017, Boeing and Ireland-based leasing firm Avolon finalized a deal for 75 737 MAX jets. The deal was originally announced as an MoU at Paris Air Show 2017 and includes firm orders for 55 737 MAX 8s and 20 737 MAX 10s, and options for another 20 737 MAX 8s. Photo Courtesy The Boeing Co.

Boeing and Airbus delivered 70 and 74 commercial jets in November 2017, respectively, compared to 64 and 61 during the same month last year. This year to date, Boeing has delivered 680 jets (681 at same time last year), while Airbus has delivered 591 jets (577). In 2016, Boeing delivered 748 jets (762 in 2015), in line with company expectations, while Airbus surpassed its delivery target of 650 jets by handing over 688 jets during 2016 (635 in 2015). Continue reading

Business Jet Market Recovery On the Horizon

By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace AnalystForecast International.

Gulfstream G650

Gulfstream G650

Data from Forecast International’s innovative Platinum Forecast System® 3.1 show that a total of 12,282 business jets will be produced during the 15-year period from 2017 through 2031.  We estimate the value of this production at $354 billion in 2017 U.S. dollars. Continue reading

Dubai Airshow Recap – A Tale of Major Commitments and One Deal that Failed

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

Both Airbus and Boeing had a strong Dubai Airshow. On November 15, 2017, Indigo Partners and Airbus signed an MoU for 430 A320neo family aircraft. Although not a firm order, this constitutes an important vote of confidence in a platform that has been dogged by engine supply issues. Photo Courtesy Airbus SAS

Airbus and Boeing took the headlines at the 2017 Dubai Airshow with a slew of orders and commitments.  In the weeks leading up to the air show, the high point was expected to be a new Emirates order for 36 A380 superjumbos, but instead the newsflow out of Dubai was dominated by massive commitments for both manufacturers’ new families of narrowbody jets. As the doors closed on Thursday of last week, total orders amounted to nearly $114 billion at list prices. According to the organizers, trade visitors were up 20 percent over the 2015 event, and almost 80,000 people visited the show during its five-day run. For Airbus and Boeing, the final score in Dubai was 510 and 296 orders and commitments, respectively. Continue reading

Airbus, Boeing Report October 2017 Aircraft Orders and Deliveries

Boeing Set to Win 2017 Orders Race – A320neo Deliveries Finally Ramping Up

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

On October 20, 2017, China Southern Airlines placed an order for eight 777-300ER widebody jets and 30 737 MAXs. During President Trump’s visit to China in November, Boeing signed an agreement with CASC for 300 commercial jets.  Photo Courtesy China Southern Airlines

Boeing and Airbus delivered 56 and 63 commercial jets in October 2017, respectively, compared to 54 each during the same month last year. This year to date, Boeing has delivered 610 jets (617 at the same time last year), while Airbus has delivered 517 (516). In 2016, Boeing delivered 748 jets (762 in 2015), in line with company expectations, while Airbus surpassed its delivery target of 650 jets by handing over 688 jets during 2016 (635 in 2015). Continue reading

Airbus, Boeing Report Q3 2017 Commercial Aircraft Orders and Deliveries

Airbus Struggling with A320neo as PurePower Delays Persist

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

Airbus reportedly has many A320neo jets sitting on the tarmac at its final assembly locations waiting for their engines.  Photo:  Pratt & Whitney

Boeing and Airbus delivered 202 (78+66+58) and 148 (55+46+47) commercial jets in Q3 2017, respectively, compared to 188 and 164 during the same quarter last year. This year to date, Boeing has delivered 554 jets (563 at this time last year), while Airbus has delivered 454 (462 in 2016). In 2016, Boeing delivered 748 jets (762 in 2015) in line with company expectations, while Airbus surpassed its delivery target of 650 jets by handing over 688 jets during 2016 (635 in 2015). Continue reading

When Market Segments Collide

by Larry Dickerson, Missile Systems Analyst, Forecast International.

Harpoon Anti Ship Missile. Source: U.S. Navy

The anti-ship missile market is growing.  Despite this, the segment might not be around in the future.

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World General Aviation Aircraft Deliveries Increase as Revenues Slump at Gulfstream and Bombardier

U.S. manufacturers delivered 363 aircraft in Q2 2017 – up 8 units, or 2.3%, from Q2 2016

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

The Cirrus SR22T (piston) was the best-selling general aviation aircraft worldwide in Q2 2017, with 50 units delivered – up from 47 in Q2 2016.
Photo Courtesy of Cirrus Aircraft

According to the General Aviation Manufacturers Association (GAMA), the second quarter of 2017 showed mixed results for the industry, but with several bright spots. Fixed-wing general aviation aircraft manufacturers delivered 561 aircraft worldwide in Q2 2017, up 2.6 percent from 547 in Q2 2016. At the same time, however, revenues declined 1.2 percent, to $5.3 billion, driven by lower revenues at Gulfstream and Bombardier. Continue reading

Airbus, Boeing Report June 2017 Commercial Aircraft Orders and Deliveries

Boeing Launches 737 MAX 10 – Wins Orders Race at Paris Air Show

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

On May 16, 2017, Boeing delivered its newest narrowbody jet, the 737 MAX 8, to Malaysia-based Malindo Air (Batik Air Malaysia), which will be the first customer to put the MAX into commercial service. Photo Courtesy The Boeing Co

Boeing and Airbus delivered 75 and 64 commercial jets in June 2017, respectively, compared to 74 and 64 during the same month last year. This year to date, Boeing has delivered 352 jets (375 by this time last year), while Airbus has delivered 306 (298 in 2016). In 2016, Boeing delivered 748 jets (762 in 2015), in line with company expectations, while Airbus surpassed its delivery target of 650 jets by handing over 688 jets during 2016 (635 in 2015). Continue reading

Steam Turbines Adapt to the Changing Power-Generating Landscape

by Carter Palmer, Power Systems Specialist, Forecast International.

Steam Turbine Production at LMZ.

Steam turbines have been the cornerstone of electrical power production since the late 19th century. Found to be more efficient than reciprocating engines, the steam turbine helped usher in a modern age. Utilizing steam gives the turbine flexibility in the fuel used to produce that steam. Anything that can burn is basically a candidate; however, lately the fuels themselves have become questionable. Countries around the world have been struggling to mitigate the burning of potentially eco-unfriendly fuels to create energy. So what is to become of the highly efficient steam turbine? Continue reading