Three New Embraer Aircraft to Make Paris Air Show Debut

KC-390 Take Off. Source: Embraer

by Bill Ostrove, International Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

Embraer plans to conduct a flight display of three new aircraft at this year’s Paris Air Show. The Brazilian aerospace company will display its commercial E195-E2 airliner, Legacy 450 business jet, and KC-390 military multirole transport. Continue reading

World General Aviation Aircraft Market off to a Mixed Start as Revenues Slump

U.S. Manufacturers Delivered 311 Aircraft in Q1 2017 – up 32 from 2016

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

The Cirrus SR22 (piston) was the best-selling general aviation aircraft worldwide in Q1 2017 with 25 units delivered – up from 20 in Q1 2016. Photo Courtesy: Cirrus Aircraft.

According to the General Aviation Manufacturers Association (GAMA), the first quarter of 2017 showed mixed results for the industry – with several bright spots appearing. Fixed-wing general aviation aircraft manufacturers delivered 434 aircraft worldwide, up 2.8 percent  from 422 in the Q1 2016. However,  revenues declined as much as 10.9 percent  (to $3.6 billion), due to increased competition and lower prices. Continue reading

E175-E2 Service Entry Postponed to 2021

By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International.

Embraer E175-E2 regional jet

Embraer E175-E2 regional jet

Embraer has postponed service entry of its new E175-E2 regional jet by approximately one year.  Originally targeted for 2020, the E175-E2 is now scheduled to enter service in 2021.  The company said that, in part, the postponement is due to the inability of major airlines in the U.S. to negotiate a relaxation of scope clauses in pilot contracts. Continue reading

Business Jet Market to Resume Positive Growth Trend

By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International.

Cessna Longitude.

Cessna Longitude.

Although business jet production is unlikely to match the skyrocketing output seen in the mid-2000s any time soon, Forecast International’s Platinum Forecast System® shows that a total of 13,252 business jets will be produced during the 15-year period from 2016 through 2030.  The value of this production is estimated at a staggering $360 billion in FY16 U.S. dollars. Continue reading

Regional Aircraft Market Stabilizing; Long-Term Growth Projected

by Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International.

Mitsubishi Regional Jet

Mitsubishi Regional Jet

In our study “The Market for Regional Transport Aircraft,” Forecast International predicts that a total of 3,817 regional aircraft will be produced from 2016 through 2025.  This includes both regional jets and regional turboprop airliners.  The value of this production is estimated at $135.2 billion in constant 2016 U.S. dollars. Continue reading

As Boeing Celebrates 100th Anniversary, Aerospace and Defense Community Gathers in Farnborough

By Bill Ostrove, Space Systems and Military Markets Analyst, and Raymond Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International.

Red Arrows at Farnborough. Source: Pixabay

Red Arrows at Farnborough. Source: Pixabay

As the Farnborough International Air Show 2016 kicks off, an exciting week is expected. Boeing will celebrate its 100th anniversary, even as the aerospace giant battles its rival for dominance in the commercial airline market. As is typical at Farnborough, a number of much anticipated aircraft debuts will occur, including that of the F-35B, KC-390, and Boeing 737 MAX. Hanging over this year’s show will be questions about Brexit, which has left businesses to deal with increased uncertainty. Continue reading

Regional Aircraft Market On the Rise

By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International.

Embraer E-Jet E-2

Embraer E-Jet E-2

Forecast International predicts that a total of 4,040 regional aircraft will be produced by manufacturers during the 10-year period from 2015 through 2024.  The total includes both regional jets and regional turboprop airliners.  The value of this production is estimated at $136.1 billion in constant 2015 U.S. dollars. Continue reading

Embraer Well Positioned with Broad Product Line as Markets Recover

by Richard Pettibone, Aerospace & Defense Companies Analyst, Forecast International.

Embraer E-Jet E-2

Embraer E-Jet E-2

With the Great Recession pretty much over, Embraer now finds itself stronger both financially and product line-wise. The company celebrated a record backlog of $20.9 billion in 2014, and deliveries have also gained strength. Continue reading

A Proposed Super Tucano Sale to Lebanon Exposes Wider ALE-47 ECM Sales Opportunities

by C. Zachary Hofer, Electronic Systems Analyst, Forecast International.

Embraer A-29 Super Tucano

Embraer A-29 Super Tucano

The U.S. Defense Security Cooperation Agency recently announced the State Department’s approval to sell six Embraer A-29 Super Tucano aircraft to Lebanon. Aiding the plane’s close air support role would be the ALE-47 countermeasures dispensing system, which would protect the aircraft from enemy fire.  BAE Systems (the ALE-47 manufacturer most likely to be involved in this contract), under the terms of the potential contract, would supply eight of the ECM units, with six installed in the Super Tucanos and the other two serving as spares.  The contract, however, has not yet been signed. Continue reading

Paris Air Show Promises to be Biggest Ever, and Heralds a Return of the U.S. Military

By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International.

bi_d_m-300x215The Paris Air Show is the world’s largest aerospace trade show, and organizers say that the 2015 event will host 2,260 exhibitors from 47 countries, surpassing the record 2,215 exhibitors hosted in 2013.

One of the highlights of the 2015 exhibition will be the return of the U.S. military, which skipped the 2013 Paris show due to sequestration-related budgetary issues.  A large static display of several U.S. military aircraft and rotorcraft is planned for the 2015 show, including a possible last hurrah at Paris for the A-10 close air support aircraft, which the U.S. Air Force has been trying to retire against the wishes of Congress.  One notable absence will be the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, which is not scheduled to make the trip to Paris.  None of the U.S. military aircraft are slated to perform in the show’s daily flying display. Continue reading