Bombardier Looks to Future After CSeries

by Richard Pettibone, Aerospace & Defense Companies Analyst, Forecast International.

Bombardier CRJ1000

After years of difficulty, Bombardier has made some bold moves under its five-year restructuring plan, begun in 2015.

The most dramatic of these steps has been the formation of a joint venture, majority led by Airbus, to take over the CSeries program.  This effort, begun in late 2017, became official in July 2018 when Airbus assumed a 50.01 percent controlling stake in the program. The CSeries was quickly rebranded as the Airbus A220 after the joint venture took control of the program. The two new models in Airbus’ lineup, the A220-100 and A220-300, were formerly known as the CS100 and CS300, respectively. Continue reading

Emergency Medical Services Helping Drive Civil Helicopter Market

By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace AnalystForecast International.

H135 Helicopter Emergency Medical Service rescue action in Brodnica, Poland . Source: Wikimedia Commons

The helicopter emergency medical services (HEMS) sector has been one of the bright spots for civil rotorcraft manufacturers at a time when the industry has tended to struggle due to very low demand from the key offshore oil and gas sector.  Solid demand for new rotorcraft from emergency medical services (EMS) operators has helped to soften somewhat the steep decline in the civil turbine helicopter market experienced since 2013, and is now helping to kickstart recovery in the market. Continue reading

Boeing MQ-25 Stingray Procurement Could Reach Over 150

by Larry Dickerson, Unmanned Vehicles Analyst, Forecast International.

Boeing MQ-25 Stingray. Source: Boeing

The United States has selected Boeing as its contractor for the MQ-25 Stingray unmanned aerial tanker.  Boeing won an $805 million engineering and manufacturing development contract to provide four aircraft.  The MQ-25 Stingray will allow for better use of combat strike fighters by extending the range of deployed naval combat aircraft, according to the U.S. Navy. Continue reading

World General Aviation Aircraft Shipments Up 7% in Second Quarter 2018

U.S. Manufacturers Deliver 413 Aircraft in Second Quarter – Up 34 Units from Q2 2017

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

On July 20, during the Farnborough International Airshow, the Gulfstream G500 received both its type certification and production certificate from the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).  Source: Gulfstream Aerospace

According to the General Aviation Manufacturers Association (GAMA), in the second quarter of 2018, manufacturers reported higher deliveries on lower revenues. Fixed-wing general aviation aircraft manufacturers delivered 607 aircraft worldwide in Q2 18, up 7.2 percent from 566 in Q2 17. At the same time, revenues decreased 10.8 percent to $4.7 billion, the result of lower revenues reported by business jet makers Gulfstream, Bombardier, Embraer and Dassault. The increase in deliveries was attributable to higher piston-engine and turboprop aircraft shipments. Continue reading

Airbus and Boeing Report July 2018 Commercial Aircraft Orders and Deliveries

Boeing Reports Weak Shipments Due to 737 Supply Chain Woes

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

In July 2018, Boeing delivered only 39 jets, including 29 737s, as the company’s supply chain struggles to keep up with demand. The biggest issue right now appears to be delays in shipments of CFM International LEAP-1B engines. About 50 737s without engines are reportedly parked around Boeing’s Renton factory. Source: CFM International

Boeing and Airbus delivered 39 and 77 commercial jets in July 2018, respectively, compared to 58 and 47 deliveries during the same month last year. July is traditionally a slow month for deliveries, but Boeing’s shipment tally was unusually low as a result of 737 delays due to late deliveries of fuselages and engines from suppliers. Airbus’ July shipments were unusually high, as the company is now able to deliver already assembled aircraft that have been sitting on the tarmac waiting for their engines. In 2017, Boeing delivered 763 jets (748 in 2016), in line with company expectations, while Airbus surpassed its delivery target of 700 jets by handing over 718 aircraft during 2017 (688 in 2016). Continue reading

Trump Administration Moves Space Force Plans Forward

by Bill Ostrove, Space Systems Analyst, Forecast International.

Space Force logo designs were released by the Trump campaign to supporters for a vote. Source: Trump campaign

With a speech by Vice President Mike Pence, along with an interim report issued by the Pentagon, the U.S. government has begun laying out its plan to create a Space Force as a branch of the U.S. military. The plans will shake up an organization that has managed the launch of 116 satellites over the past eight years. Continue reading

Boeing Increases Production and Insourcing Efforts as Backlog Rises

by Richard Pettibone, Aerospace & Defense Companies Analyst, Forecast International.

Boeing 737 MAX 7 First Flight. Source: Boeing

The market for large commercial transports continues to rise following a brief downtick in 2015-2016.  At the 2018 Farnborough Airshow, both Airbus and Boeing generated an impressive number of orders and commitments. All told, the over 1,400 aircraft orders placed was the biggest total since 2013, with Airbus garnering 431 orders and Boeing “winning” the show with 676. Continue reading

Biggest Sales Haul in Five Years at 2018 Farnborough Airshow

By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace AnalystForecast International.

Boeing 777. Source: Boeing

The recently concluded Farnborough International Airshow generated an impressive number of orders and other purchase commitments (options, letters of intent, Memoranda of Understanding, etc.) for the world’s commercial aircraft manufacturers.  Aircraft orders and commitments totaled more than 1,400, outpacing recent Farnborough shows and even the last two Paris Air Shows (2017 and 2015).  One would have to go back to the 2013 Paris show to find a bigger sales haul at an international air show. Continue reading

Remote Sensing Satellite Market Takes Off, Driven by SmallSat Deliveries

by Bill Ostrove, Space Systems Analyst, Forecast International.

JPSS-1 meteorological satellite. Source: NOAA

Annual deliveries of remote sensing satellites are increasing at high rates. Only 18 remote sensing satellites launched in 2013, but 177 were launched in 2017.

This trend can be expected to continue. During the 2018-2032 forecast period, civil and commercial satellite operators will take delivery of 3,979 satellites, representing an estimated $39 billion in value of production. Continue reading

More than 29,000 Large Jetliners to be Built over 15 Years

By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace AnalystForecast International.

Data from Forecast International’s Platinum Forecast System 4.0 indicate that 29,407 large commercial jet transports will be produced in the 15-year period from 2018 through 2032.  The value of this production is estimated at $4.73 trillion in constant 2018 U.S. dollars. Continue reading