Steam Turbines Adapt to the Changing Power-Generating Landscape

by Carter Palmer, Power Systems Specialist, Forecast International.

Steam Turbine Production at LMZ.

Steam turbines have been the cornerstone of electrical power production since the late 19th century. Found to be more efficient than reciprocating engines, the steam turbine helped usher in a modern age. Utilizing steam gives the turbine flexibility in the fuel used to produce that steam. Anything that can burn is basically a candidate; however, lately the fuels themselves have become questionable. Countries around the world have been struggling to mitigate the burning of potentially eco-unfriendly fuels to create energy. So what is to become of the highly efficient steam turbine? Continue reading

Forecast International Predicts $4.15 Trillion Large Jetliner Market Over 15 Years

by Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International.

Boeing and China Aircraft Leasing Group (CALC) announced an order for 50 737 MAX airplanes at the 2017 Paris Air Show. Source: Boeing

According to projections from Forecast International’s Platinum Forecast System® 3.1, a total of 26,210 large commercial jetliners will be produced in the 15-year period from 2017 through 2031.  The value of this production is estimated at $4.15 trillion in constant 2017 U.S. dollars. Continue reading

Three New Embraer Aircraft to Make Paris Air Show Debut

KC-390 Take Off. Source: Embraer

by Bill Ostrove, International Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

Embraer plans to conduct a flight display of three new aircraft at this year’s Paris Air Show. The Brazilian aerospace company will display its commercial E195-E2 airliner, Legacy 450 business jet, and KC-390 military multirole transport. Continue reading

New Diesel-Powered Cessna 172 Skyhawk Certified by EASA and FAA

By Douglas Royce, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International.

Turbo Skyhawk JT-A. Source: Cessna

The European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) and the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) have certified a new version of the Cessna 172 Skyhawk powered by a diesel engine, the Turbo Skyhawk JT-A.  Deliveries to customers in Europe and the U.S. will begin soon.  Continue reading

General Electric to Dominate Industrial Power Market

By Stuart Slade, Gas Turbine Systems Analyst, Forecast International.

Industrial & Marine Gas and Steam Turbines Market Share. Source: FI’s Platinum Forecast System

According to FI’s Platinum Forecast System, GE has clearly moved into the dominant world position in the production of industrial & marine gas and steam turbines.  As shown in the pie chart, GE Energy, with plants in Cincinnati (Ohio), Erie (Pennsylvania), Schenectady (New York), and Atlanta (Georgia), will capture 33.76 percent of the world market, valued at over $113.6 billion, during the 2017-2031 period.  In addition, subsidiaries in France, Italy, and Japan will contribute about 3 percent of production, bringing the overall share of GE up to almost 37 percent of the world market.   Continue reading

Airbus, Boeing Report May 2017 Commercial Aircraft Orders and Deliveries

Airbus Orders Picking Up Pace as Boeing Delivers First 737 MAX

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

On May 16, 2017, Boeing delivered its newest narrowbody jet, the 737 MAX 8, to Malaysia-based Malindo Air (Batik Air Malaysia), which will be the first customer to put the MAX into commercial service.
Photo Courtesy The Boeing Company

Boeing and Airbus delivered 56 and 60 commercial jets in May 2017, respectively, compared to 71 and 57 during the same month last year. This year to date, Boeing has delivered 277 jets (301 at the same time last year), while Airbus has delivered 242 jets (234 in 2016). In 2016, Boeing delivered 748 jets (762 in 2015), in line with company expectations, while Airbus surpassed its delivery target of 650 jets by handing over 688 jets during 2016 (635 in 2015). Continue reading

Airborne Retrofit & Modernization Highlights

by Matthew Beres, Airborne Retrofit & Modernization Analyst, Forecast International.

This blog post briefly highlights Airborne Retrofit & Modernization news from the past week. More in-depth news can be found in Forecast’s E-Market Alert. To the minute R&M news can also be found via the Forecast R&M twitter account, @MBeresFI.

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EU Taking Steps to Bring Harmony to Its Discordant Defense Market

by Dan Darling, International Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

After years of talk with little to show for it, the governments of Europe are finally moving forward with long-held cooperative defense ambitions through the auspices of the European Union. The announcement by the EU on June 7 of a European Defense Industrial Program co-financed by members to the tune of EUR500-EUR590 million annually through 2020, thereafter growing to EUR1-EUR1.5 billion annually, marks the launch of an effort to bring commonality and unity to an otherwise fragmented market. Continue reading

EMP Threat Not Just a Hollywood Trope

By Richard Sterk, Defense Electronics Analyst, Forecast International.

Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP). Source: US Army

The post-apocalyptic effects of an electromagnetic pulse (EMP) are no longer just a plot device in the latest Hollywood techno-thriller. The threat to the global grid is very real and very serious. EMP threats encompass not only weapons of mass destruction or threats from terrorist groups and criminal organizations, but also natural threats such as a geomagnetic storm on the sun that sends huge solar flares in the direction of Earth. Continue reading

Gulf Dispute Reaches Boiling Point

by Derek Bisaccio, International Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

U.S. President Donald Trump attends meeting with Gulf Cooperation Council leaders on May 21, 2017.
Source: White House

Early on June 5, a number of Arab countries announced in concert their decision to sever ties with Gulf State Qatar. The move by the four countries – Bahrain, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) – came just days after a hacker group announced it would release a trove of emails purportedly belonging to the Emirati Ambassador to the United States. Continue reading