Cayman ARV Procurement Reflects Belarus’s Pursuit of Strategic Autonomy, Part I

by Thomas Dolzall, Defense Analyst, Forecast International.

Cayman armored reconnaissance vehicle. Photo: Vitaly V. Kuzmin

The adoption by the Belarusian armed forces in early 2017 of the Cayman armored reconnaissance vehicle, which had recently entered serial production, represents a modest but significant step in the maturation of the Belarusian defense industry, and serves as one of several prominent indicators of an emerging trend in Belarusian military procurement patterns toward the acquisition of indigenously developed hardware in response to the country’s subtly shifting strategic demands. Continue reading

‘One SABCA’ Effort Reaping Rewards for Belgian Manufacturer

by Richard Pettibone, Aerospace & Defense Companies Analyst, Forecast International.

SABCA’s three-year restructuring plan, begun in early 2017, is already showing signs of success, with the company returning to profitability following a string of annual losses.  Continue reading

General Electric to Continue Powering the Arleigh Burke Class

by Carter Palmer, Power Systems SpecialistForecast International.

USS Arleigh Burke (DDG 51). U.S. Navy photo by Journalist 2nd Class Patrick Reilly. (RELEASED)

The Arleigh Burke class destroyer has three “flights” (variants), the latest being the third and most advanced. Advanced is a key word here, because the more advanced a ship is, the more electricity it needs in order to power next-generation sensors and weapons. The question on the minds of those in the know has been, what will power these new ships? Continue reading

A Turbine Close to Home – Part 2

by Carter Palmer, Power Systems SpecialistForecast International.

The CPV Towantic Energy Center is a 805 megawatt natural gas-fueled combined-cycle electric generating facility operating in Oxford, Connecticut.

As reported in Part 1 of this blog, Forecast International’s team of industrial and marine turbine specialists was given the opportunity to tour a facility that operates two General Electric 7HA.01 gas turbines and a General Electric steam turbine.  The Towantic Energy Center, located in Oxford, Connecticut, is a prime example of what is currently state-of-the art for this type of powerplant.  Questions asked by Forecast International’s team were readily answered by the plant manager, and much was learned in the process. Continue reading

A Turbine Close to Home – Part 1

by Carter Palmer, Power Systems SpecialistForecast International.

GE’s 7HA high efficiency, air cooled gas turbine. Source: GE

In the power generation game, gas turbines have long cemented their position.  What is the norm now and what might lie in the future?

Gas turbines can be used in two ways for power generation.  Depending on the requirements of a specific installation, a simple-cycle or combined-cycle design is preferred.  Cogeneration and trigeneration setups are also possible with these machines. Continue reading

Ansaldo Energia on a Power Trip in the Chinese Market

by Carter Palmer, Power Systems SpecialistForecast International.

Ansaldo Energia GT36 gas turbine. Source: Ansaldo Energia

Ansaldo Energia has been supplying gas turbines worldwide for decades.  Up until now, China has been a small market for the Italian manufacturer.  That may be about to change. Continue reading

Iran Said to be Considering JF-17 Buy

by Derek Bisaccio, International Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

JF-17 Block I fighter jet. Photo credit: Eric Salard/ Wikimedia Commons

On November 27, 2018, Defence Blog reported that the Iranian Air Force is considering the procurement of the joint Pakistan-China fighter jet JF-17.[i] The report noted that importing new fighter jets would allow the Air Force to replace aging jets currently in service. The report referenced several videos released by Pakistani analyst Muzammil Hatami, in which Iranian Rear Adm. Habibollah Sayyari can be seen at the IDEAS 2018 exhibition in Karachi examining a JF-17 Block II fighter jet as well as a Super Mushshak trainer aircraft. Rear Admiral Sayyari formerly served as the Navy’s commander but now is the Deputy Coordinator of the Iranian Army. Iranian media noted that Rear Admiral Sayyari headed a military delegation to the Pakistani expo.[ii]

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Sea Change: Japan Plans Destroyer Conversion, Larger F-35 Order with China in Mind

by Dan Darling, International Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

F-35A Misawa, Japan, Rollout Ceremony, February 24, 2018. JASDF Misawa Base. Photo: Lockheed Martin

As the Japanese government sets out its new National Defense Program Guidelines defense capability target policy that will guide the upcoming Medium-Term Defense Program (Japan’s military acquisition plan), two major considerations are in play that are intended to complement each other. Continue reading

Collins Aerospace to Lead Three-Way Split of United Technologies

by Richard Pettibone, Aerospace & Defense Companies Analyst, Forecast International.

Having long been a conglomerate, UTC has decided that its operations would be better off as three independent companies.  With the completion of its $30 billion acquisition of Rockwell Collins, the company has announced plans to split into three operations: aerospace, including Pratt & Whitney and the new Collins Aerospace Systems; Otis Elevator; and UTC Climate, Controls & Security, which will operate under the Carrier name. The purchase price implies a total equity value of $23 billion and a total transaction value of $30 billion, including Rockwell Collins’ net debt.

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World General Aviation Aircraft Shipments Up 7% in Third Quarter 2018

U.S. Manufacturers Deliver 416 Aircraft in Third Quarter – Up 39 Units from Q3 2017

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent, Forecast International.

Swiss general aviation aircraft manufacturer Pilatus Aircraft had a stellar third quarter, with billings up 44 percent thanks to a record six deliveries of its new PC-24 business jet. Photo Courtesy: Pilatus Aircraft Ltd.

According to the General Aviation Manufacturers Association (GAMA), in the third quarter of 2018, compared to the same period last year, manufacturers reported higher deliveries but nearly flat revenues. Fixed-wing general aviation aircraft manufacturers delivered 568 aircraft worldwide in Q3 2018, up 7.2 percent from 530 in Q3 2017. Revenues (billings), however, only increased 0.8 percent to $4.1 billion due to lower revenues at Gulfstream, Bombardier and Textron. Continue reading