Indonesia’s Planned Submarine Buy from Russia Raises Questions

by Dan Darling, International Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

Type 209 Submarine

Type 209 submarine currently in service.

The Indonesian Navy has announced plans to procure two new submarines from Russia as it seeks to bolster its limited submarine force. Under a plan developed in 2002-2003, the Navy intends to acquire 12 diesel-electric submarines by 2024; currently it has just two German-built Type 209 (Cakra class) boats in its fleet, both of which are slated for decommissioning around 2020. Continue reading

Bombardier Looks to Put Its Troubles Behind

By Richard Pettibone, Aerospace & Defense Companies Analyst, Forecast International.

Bombardier CSeries CS100

Bombardier CSeries CS100

The turmoil that has roiled Bombardier over the past few years came to a head in 2015 when top management was dramatically reshuffled.

In February, Alain Bellemare was named to replace CEO Pierre Beaudoin. In April, Fred Cromer was selected to lead Bombardier Commercial Aircraft. In June, David M. Coleal was named president of Bombardier Business Aircraft. Finally, in August, a new chief financial officer, John Di Bert, was named to replace the retiring Pierre Alary.

The new management team has its work cut out for it as it seeks to deal with a litany of woes in the CSeries, Global 7000/8000, and Learjet 85 programs.

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Canada Refutes Media Claims About Future Surface Combatant

By Shaun McDougall, Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

HMCS Athabaskan Source: Royal Canadian Navy

HMCS Athabaskan. Source: Royal Canadian Navy

The Canadian Department of National Defence has responded to media claims that the future Canadian Surface Combatant (CSC) program is in trouble, but the government’s effort to assuage concerns is of little consolation. The CSC is a planned class of ships that will replace Canada’s Halifax class frigates and Iroquois class destroyers. CTV News recently obtained internal planning documents that said the CSC is at “very high risk” of running over budget and behind schedule and of lacking skilled manpower. It also said that there is a high risk the CSC will fail to provide the necessary capabilities. The document warned that the program “may be unable to deliver the optimal number of ships with the capabilities necessary to meet operational requirements.” Statements like these are a significant concern for a costly project to replace the bulk of the Royal Canadian Navy’s might.       Continue reading

Regional Aircraft Market On the Rise

By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International.

Embraer E-Jet E-2

Embraer E-Jet E-2

Forecast International predicts that a total of 4,040 regional aircraft will be produced by manufacturers during the 10-year period from 2015 through 2024.  The total includes both regional jets and regional turboprop airliners.  The value of this production is estimated at $136.1 billion in constant 2015 U.S. dollars. Continue reading

With Security Bills Passed, Abe Government Faces Backlash

by Dan Darling, International Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

Japan FlagFollowing final approval on September 19 of landscape-altering security legislation by the upper house of Japan’s parliament, the National Diet, the conservative government of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is facing a sharp backlash, both at home and abroad. Considering the magnitude of the legislation as it relates to both Japan and its neighbors – many of which retain memories of attack and invasion by Imperial Japan in the first half of the 20th century – the reaction had long been expected. Continue reading

SmallSats vs Rideshare: What Holds the Future in the Lightweight Launch Vehicle Market?

By Bill Ostrove, Space Systems Analyst, Forecast International.

LauncherOne. Source, Virgin Galactic

LauncherOne. Source, Virgin Galactic

Virgin Galactic recently announced upgrades to its LauncherOne launch vehicle. When Virgin Galactic initially announced development of LauncherOne, the company said it planned to develop a vehicle capable of carrying 120-kilogram payloads to a sun-synchronous orbit for about $10 million. The company has now increased that capability to 200 kilograms for the same price. Continue reading

It’s a MAD World in Anti-Submarine Warfare

By Richard Sterk, Senior Defense Electronics Analyst, Forecast International.

Boeing P-8A MMA

Boeing P-8A MMA

Consider by many to be “old school” technology, magnetic anomaly detection (MAD) remains a reliable tool in anti-submarine warfare. MAD systems have often been associated with submarine detection and overlooked as a possible solution for land-based surveillance and detection. Several conflicts around the globe have demonstrated the need for enhanced detection capabilities. Continue reading

Cyber Defense Analysis: $2.64M R&D Effort to Assess Information Disclosures to U.S. Adversaries

by Greg Giaquinto, Electronic Systems Analyst, Forecast International.

CyberForecast International estimates that the U.S. Air Force will spend approximately $2.64 million on its Cyber Defense Analysis project over the next decade. The CDA project is a research and development endeavor that assesses non-secure telecommunications to determine the type and amount of sensitive and/or classified information that may have been disclosed to U.S. adversaries.

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Triumph! For Now. Rafale’s Struggles, Failures, Big Wins… and Future

By Matthew Beres, Forecast International.

Dassault Rafale (Source: Rafale International)

Dassault Rafale (Source: Rafale International)

In the blink of an eye, France has come out of nowhere and ripped the global fighter market from the hands of its industry competitors. It’s certainly no surprise that the Rafale is gaining sales momentum, as it’s always been operationally competitive, despite a protracted failure to solicit international buyers. Continue reading

Airbus storms past Boeing in 2015 orders race, Boeing extends delivery lead.

By J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

Indian low-cost carrier IndiGo firmed up an order for 250 A320neo jets in August. Photo Courtesy Airbus SAS

Indian low-cost carrier IndiGo firmed up an order for 250 A320neo jets in August.
Photo Courtesy Airbus SAS

Boeing and Airbus delivered 64 and 44 commercial jets in August 2015, respectively, compared to 58 and 49 in July. In 2015 to date, Boeing has delivered 503 aircraft, ahead of Airbus’ 397. With this, Boeing strengthened its lead in the 2015 delivery race to 106 units, compared to 82 units in July and 73 in June. In 2014 and 2013, Boeing delivered a total of 723 and 648 jets, respectively, compared to Airbus with 629 and 626. Boeing was able to increase its numbers mainly thanks to the ramp up in production of the 787 Dreamliner. However, Airbus will soon be ramping up deliveries of its A350 XWB and gradually begin to close the gap in the deliveries race.

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