Kazakhstan Plays Mediator for Middle East Conflicts

 by Derek Bisaccio, Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev and Russian President Vladimir Putin,
at a recent CSTO meeting in St. Petersburg.
Source: Russian Presidency website

Starting with the decision in the mid-1990s to relinquish its inherited nuclear arsenal, Kazakhstan has maneuvered itself on the international stage as a responsible global player. That decision, which saw Kazakhstan return Soviet nuclear weapons to Russia after the collapse of the Soviet Union, may have been made for a number of reasons, but Astana regularly points to it as an indicator of Kazakhstan being a positive international force. Continue reading

The Effect of 2016’s Presidential Election on Worldwide Aerospace and Defense Markets Part 2/2

By Matthew Beres, Forecast International.

election-2016

Welcome to the Forecast Roundtable Podcast. Forecast Roundtable brings together expert analysts, industry professionals, and government officials to discuss the latest issues in the aerospace and defense markets. Produced at the Forecast International headquarters, Forecast Roundtable offers unique and in depth insight and discussion on any range of topics from geopolitics to aerospace and defense markets. Topic suggestions are welcome.

This episode features Ray Jawarowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Dan Darling, Europe and Asia, Australia & Pacific Rim Analyst, Bill Ostrove, South America & Space Systems analyst, Derek Bisaccio, Middle East and Eurasia analyst, and Matthew Beres, Airborne Retrofit and Modernization analyst. Continue reading

The Effect of 2016’s Presidential Election on Worldwide Aerospace and Defense Markets Part 1/2

By Matthew Beres, Forecast International.

election-2016

Welcome to the Forecast Roundtable Podcast. Forecast Roundtable brings together expert analysts, industry professionals, and government officials to discuss the latest issues in the aerospace and defense markets. Produced at the Forecast International headquarters, Forecast Roundtable offers unique and in depth insight and discussion on any range of topics from geopolitics to aerospace and defense markets. Topic suggestions are welcome. Continue reading

Russia Deploys Bombers to Iranian Air Base

by Derek Bisaccio, Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

Russian Su-34 jet. Source: Russian Ministry of Defense

Russian Su-34 jet. Source: Russian Ministry of Defense

In a significant development for the conflict in Syria and for the Middle East generally, Russia has deployed a number of bombers to an air base in western Iran. The bombers – Tu-22M3s and Su-34s – will conduct airstrikes from the Hamedan air base against militant groups in Syria, in support of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s forces. Continue reading

United States and Russia Edge Closer to Cooperation in Syria

by Derek Bisaccio, Military Markets Analyst, Forecast International.

U.S. Marine Harrier takes off from USS Kearsarge to carry out operations against the Islamic State.  Photo by Centcom

U.S. Marine Harrier takes off from USS Kearsarge to carry out operations against the Islamic State.  Photo by Centcom

Ahead of U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry’s trip to Moscow, The Washington Post published a leaked copy of an apparent U.S. proposal to deepen cooperation between the U.S. and Russia regarding the conflict in Syria, where both countries’ militaries are carrying out air missions. Continue reading

Forecast Roundtable, #3

Featuring Forecast International analysts Doug Royce, Derek Bisaccio and Daniel Darling. Edited by Matthew Beres.

2podcast logoWelcome to the third episode of the Forecast Roundtable podcast. Each podcast features several analysts discussing various aerospace and defense-related issues.

This week Doug Royce continues the interviews of Derek Bisaccio and Daniel Darling regarding Middle East defense cooperation and military acquisition. Matthew Beres edited.

Click the button below to download the podcast.

PodcastButton100:50 – What’s happening with defense budgets in the region now that oil prices are going down?

02:25 – How does Israel feel about the defense buildup that’s happening in the GCC?

04:27 – F-35 comments

04:32 – Israel and Turkey’s Relationship

10:22 – Defense trade between the Arab world and China. Will China be a future competitor for the U.S. and European companies?

12:05 – Will the future see greater reliance on China as an arms supplier to GCC countries?



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Forecast Roundtable, Podcast Episode 2

By Matthew Beres and Bill Ostrove, Forecast International.

2podcast logo

Welcome to Forecast International’s second episode of the Forecast Roundtable podcast. Each podcast features several analysts discussing various aerospace and defense-related issues. Continue reading

Forecast Roundtable, Inaugural Podcast

By Matthew Beres and Richard Pettibone, Forecast International.

2podcast logo

And now for something a little different.  Welcome to Forecast International’s first podcast, dubbed the Forecast Roundtable.  Each podcast will feature several analysts discussing various aerospace and defense-related issues. Continue reading

Challenges Face Upcoming Syria Negotiations

By Derek Bisaccio, Eurasia Analyst, Forecast International.

kataib thuwar al-sham tank

Kataib Thuwar al-Sham Tank Engaging IS Forces Near Talalin in Northern Aleppo, August 2015

On December 18, the International Syria Support Group (ISSG) – composed of top players with stakes in the Syrian conflict – will meet in New York City to discuss the war and efforts at peace negotiations. They are due to formally codify the framework reached in Vienna last month, which, among other provisions, “agreed on the need to convene Syrian government and opposition representatives in formal negotiations under UN auspices, as soon as possible, with a target date of January 1.”[i] Continue reading

Russia Steps Up Its Syria Game

By Derek Bisaccio, Eurasia Analyst, Forecast International.

Russian Mi-8 search-and-rescue helicopter, burning after being hit by a TOW missile on November 24, 2015.  The helicopter crew was looking for Su-24M pilots.

Russian Mi-8 search-and-rescue helicopter, burning after being hit by a TOW missile on November 24, 2015.  The helicopter crew was looking for Su-24M pilots.

In the early hours of November 24, two Turkish F-16s shot down a Russian Su-24M that, according to Turkish authorities, had crossed into Turkish airspace. The action, described by Russian President Vladimir Putin as a “stab in the back,”[i] drew immediate condemnation from Russia, which claimed that the aircraft had never left Syrian airspace. One of the pilots was later rescued, but one was killed after being fired upon while in the air by Turkmen rebel fighters in Syria. A search-and-rescue helicopter was forced to land after taking ground fire and was later destroyed by a TOW missile fired by a rebel group called the First Coastal Division. Continue reading