Sounds of Life Heard from Cold War Sonar System

by Richard Sterk, Electronic Systems Analyst, Forecast International.

U.S. Navy Surveillance Towed Array Sensor Systems (SURTASS) Low Frequency Active (LFA) is part of the Integrated Undersea Surveillance System (IUSS), installed on U.S. Navy T-AGOS class ships. (Source: U.S. Navy)

Today, more and more nations are using highly advanced diesel-electric submarines that are extremely difficult to detect. And, the U.S. Navy has been forced to rely once again on its Surveillance Towed Array Sensor System (SURTASS) – not seen in priority use since the height of the Cold War. This sonar system is considered essential to America’s efforts to detect newer and quieter diesel-electric submarines, especially those operating in the littoral environment. Continue reading

Airbus, Boeing Report December and Full-Year 2016 Aircraft Orders and Deliveries

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

Airbus Delivers 111 Jets in Wild Year-End Rally, Logs 321 Net Orders

Airbus delivered 111 jets in just one month in December in an impressive year-end surge, and also logged 321 net orders, including the long-awaited Iran Air order for 98 jets.
Photo Courtesy Airbus SAS

Boeing and Airbus delivered 67 and 111 commercial jets in December 2016, respectively, compared to 53 and 79 during the same month last year. For Airbus, this marks an unprecedented dash to the year-end finish line, having been held back by A320neo and A350 supply chain issues. For the full year of 2016, Boeing delivered 748 jets (762 in 2015), in line with company expectations, while Airbus surpassed its delivery target of 650-670 jets by handing over 688 jets during the year (635 in 2015). In 2015, Boeing delivered 762 aircraft, ahead of Airbus’ 635. In 2014 and 2013, Boeing delivered a total of 723 and 648 jets, respectively, compared to Airbus’ 629 and 626. Continue reading

Operation Tomodachi Underscores Need for a New Surface Warship Radiation Detector

by Richard Sterk, Electronic Systems Analyst, Forecast International.

radiation

Operation Tomodachi, the U.S. mission that provided disaster relief to Japan following the earthquake and tsunami in 2011, attached newfound significance to the need to update the radiation detection devices that equip surface warships.

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Airbus, Boeing – November a Weak Month in Orders Race

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

airbus-small

Airbus needs to deliver 16 A350-900 jets in December to reach the 2016 target of 50 jets – an impossible feat unless the company has a long line of almost-finished jets stacked up at the final assembly line. Photo Courtesy Airbus SAS

Boeing and Airbus delivered 64 and 61 commercial jets in November 2016, respectively, compared to 71 and 61 during the same month last year. As of November 30, 2016, Boeing is trailing last year’s delivery figures with 681 commercial jets delivered (709 in 2015), which is in line with company expectations. Airbus has delivered 577 jets to date and is 21 deliveries ahead of November of last year.

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E175-E2 Service Entry Postponed to 2021

By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International.

Embraer E175-E2 regional jet

Embraer E175-E2 regional jet

Embraer has postponed service entry of its new E175-E2 regional jet by approximately one year.  Originally targeted for 2020, the E175-E2 is now scheduled to enter service in 2021.  The company said that, in part, the postponement is due to the inability of major airlines in the U.S. to negotiate a relaxation of scope clauses in pilot contracts. Continue reading

Airbus, Boeing Report October 2016 Commercial Aircraft Orders and Deliveries

by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent.

On October 27, 2016, Boeing landed an order for 14 747-8 Freighters for UPS. Photo: The Boeing Company

On October 27, 2016, Boeing landed an order for 14 747-8 Freighters for UPS.
Photo: The Boeing Company

Boeing and Airbus each delivered 54 commercial jets in October 2016, compared to 58 and 49 during the same month last year, respectively. As of October 31, 2016, Boeing had delivered 617 commercial jets, trailing 2015’s comparable figure of 638 but in line with company expectations. Airbus, on the other hand, had delivered 516 jets, 21 deliveries ahead of last year. Continue reading

Business Jet Market to Resume Positive Growth Trend

By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International.

Cessna Longitude.

Cessna Longitude.

Although business jet production is unlikely to match the skyrocketing output seen in the mid-2000s any time soon, Forecast International’s Platinum Forecast System® shows that a total of 13,252 business jets will be produced during the 15-year period from 2016 through 2030.  The value of this production is estimated at a staggering $360 billion in FY16 U.S. dollars. Continue reading

T55 Soldiers On Aboard Venerable CH-47 Chinook

by Carter Palmer, Power Systems Specialist, Forecast International.

Boeing CH-47F Chinook

Boeing CH-47F Chinook

When an aviation platform passes 50 years of continuous military service, it joins a prestigious, albeit small, group of aircraft. The group gets significantly smaller when another proviso is added, that of being in current production. The Boeing CH-47 Chinook is a member of this elite group, and its august Honeywell T55 gas turbine engine has been with the platform from the beginning. Continue reading

COMAC Slowly Ramps Up ARJ21 Production

by Douglas Royce, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International.

COMAC's ARJ21. Source: COMAC

COMAC’s ARJ21.   Source: COMAC

COMAC’s ARJ21-700 program delivered its second aircraft to launch customer Chengdu Airlines in October 2016. The company delivered the airline’s first aircraft in November 2015, but it did not enter service until the following June. A slow ramp-up in production will follow as COMAC works with operators to resolve problems that are bound to crop up after an aircraft enters service. Continue reading

Short-Term Growth, Longer-Term Decline Projected for Light Military Rotorcraft Market

By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International.

H145M in flight (© Copyright Airbus Helicopters, Charles Abarr)

Airbus Helicopters H145M in flight (© Copyright Airbus Helicopters, Charles Abarr)

Forecast International is projecting that 1,241 light military rotorcraft will be produced by manufacturers during the 10-year period from 2016 through 2025.  The value of this production is estimated at $19.7 billion, as calculated in constant 2016 U.S. dollars.  We define a light military rotorcraft as one having a maximum gross weight of less than 6,804 kilograms (15,000 lb). Continue reading